Kansas City Chiefs- ESPN

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1 p.m. ET | CBS

Matchup rating: 66.5 | Spread: KC -11 (55)

What to watch for: Can Raiders quarterback Derek Carr improve his play at Arrowhead Stadium? That would seem necessary if the Raiders are to beat the Chiefs in Kansas City for the first time since 2012. Carr is 0-6 against the Chiefs on the road, with four touchdown passes, seven interceptions, a QBR of 14.4 and a long pass of 33 yards. The Chiefs have changed players, coordinators, systems and tactics against Carr, and everything has continued to work. The Raiders have been outscored 75-12 in two games against the Chiefs at Arrowhead since Patrick Mahomes became Kansas City’s starting QB. — Adam Teicher

Everything you need this week:
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• Transactions » | Injuries »
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Bold prediction: Carr will not be picked off and will extend his interception-free streak to nine games. The last time Carr was intercepted was Dec. 1, 2019, when he was picked off twice … at Arrowhead Stadium. But he is completing passes at a 73.6% clip this season with short, safe throws, and he will have to control the ball to keep Mahomes off the field. — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: Mahomes’ 89.1 Total QBR against the Raiders is his highest against any team that he has played more than once, and his 11 passing touchdowns in four games — in which he went 4-0 — is the highest total he has against any NFL team.

Injuries: Raiders | Chiefs

What to know for fantasy: Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill is the first Kansas City player with at least six targets and a TD reception in four straight games since Dwayne Bowe did it in five straight in 2010. See Week 5 rankings.

Betting nugget: All four Raiders games have gone over the total this season. Read more.

Gutierrez’s pick: Chiefs 29, Raiders 12

Teicher’s pick: Chiefs 27, Raiders 17

FPI prediction: KC, 82.1% (by an average of 12.7 points)

Matchup must-reads: Raiders defense struggling under coordinator Paul Guenther … again … Mahomes cites ‘mental lapse’ for close contact with Gilmore … QB Carr ‘sick of losing’

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